Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.033208 0.038659 0.044658 0.051739 0.059860 0.068873 0.079625
2025-09-14 0.025014 0.032106 0.040628 0.051586 0.065264 0.081730 0.103011
2025-09-21 0.019007 0.026596 0.036449 0.050099 0.068423 0.092062 0.124748
2025-09-28 0.015121 0.022853 0.033607 0.049512 0.072259 0.103410 0.149043
2025-10-05 0.013229 0.021396 0.033456 0.052333 0.080842 0.121923 0.185116
2025-10-12 0.011528 0.019841 0.032811 0.054185 0.088089 0.139218 0.221367
2025-10-19 0.009506 0.017373 0.030311 0.052704 0.089915 0.148486 0.246502
2025-10-26 0.008085 0.015623 0.028638 0.052203 0.093058 0.159912 0.275976
2025-11-02 0.006768 0.013804 0.026534 0.050599 0.094039 0.167787 0.300326
2025-11-09 0.005747 0.012338 0.024806 0.049355 0.095376 0.176230 0.326285
2025-11-16 0.005047 0.011368 0.023829 0.049307 0.098763 0.188423 0.359776
2025-11-23 0.004324 0.010217 0.022320 0.048004 0.099597 0.196051 0.385735
2025-11-30 0.004017 0.009917 0.022499 0.050119 0.107349 0.217351 0.439308
2025-12-07 0.003559 0.009199 0.021701 0.050124 0.110925 0.231154 0.480187
2025-12-14 0.003061 0.008289 0.020348 0.048753 0.111500 0.239165 0.510634
2025-12-21 0.002693 0.007626 0.019441 0.048219 0.113746 0.250683 0.549102
2025-12-28 0.002577 0.007582 0.019962 0.050991 0.123482 0.278433 0.623160
2026-01-04 0.002413 0.007380 0.020072 0.052809 0.131283 0.302851 0.692478
2026-01-11 0.002099 0.006702 0.018898 0.051370 0.131446 0.310907 0.727748
2026-01-18 0.001870 0.006222 0.018153 0.050883 0.133769 0.323875 0.774808
2026-01-25 0.001625 0.005643 0.017049 0.049318 0.133289 0.330481 0.808313
2026-02-01 0.001426 0.005160 0.016131 0.048104 0.133516 0.338687 0.846124
2026-02-08 0.001292 0.004857 0.015670 0.048058 0.136684 0.354038 0.901734